加元:预计劳动力状况将逐步改善 – 加拿大皇家银行
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan指出,加拿大4月份失业18,000人,2026年累计失业人数达到112,000人,失业率上升至6.9%。工作时长持平,劳动参与率上升。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan指出,加拿大4月份失业人数减少了18,000人,使2026年迄今的总失业人数达到112,000人,同时失业率上升至6.9%。工作时长保持持平,劳动参与率有所上升。失业率上升归因于招聘疲软而非裁员,RBC预计强劲的国内支出将逐步改善今年晚些时候的劳动力状况。

RBC认为招聘疲软但裁员减少

“加拿大4月份失业人数减少了18,000人,叠加年初的下降,2026年迄今累计减少112,000人。”

“失业率回升至6.9%,与去年4月的水平持平。工作时长基本持平,劳动参与率上升。关键是,与早期趋势一致,失业率上升并非由裁员引起,而是由于招聘疲软。”

“加拿大的永久性裁员在4月份继续下降,较2025年10月的峰值低10%。相反,失业率上升是因为更多工人离职寻找新职位,以及新进入劳动力市场者难以找到工作。”

“我们继续忽略短期波动,预计消费者、企业和政府的强劲国内支出将支持今年晚些时候劳动力状况的逐步改善。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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