美联储:预计沃什首次亮相将保持谨慎——北欧联合银行
北欧银行的Jan von Gerich预计,Kevin Warsh将于6月17日参加的首次FOMC会议将传达更中性的政策立场,之前预测的降息可能会从点阵图中剔除,同时出现一些加息的呼声。

Nordea的Jan von Gerich预计Kevin Warsh将于6月17日参加的首次FOMC会议将传达更中性的政策立场,之前预测的降息可能会从点阵图中移除,并出现一些加息的呼声。他认为Warsh将寻求共识和信誉,而非迎合政治压力,任何沟通上的变化将是预示性的,而非立即实施。

点阵图预计将转向远离降息

“继欧洲央行加息后,焦点将转向下周的FOMC会议,决定将于6月17日星期三公布。”

“Warsh会尝试达成共识,倾向于更中性甚至略偏鹰派的观点,以增强其信誉,还是会在首次会议上持异议以迎合总统的预期,从一开始就严重损害其信誉?”

“我们认为前者的可能性更大。”

“声明本身可能会对进一步的加息动作采取更中性的立场,而FOMC成员的个别利率预测点阵图可能不再包括3月份预测的今年降息。”

“实际上,一些加息的呼声也可能逐渐出现在点阵图中。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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