美元/菲律宾比索:菲律宾央行加息被石油冲击掩盖 – BBH
布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的埃利亚斯·哈达德报道,美元/菲律宾比索在原油价格上涨掩盖了菲律宾中央银行(BSP)的鹰派举措的情况下,交易价格略低于历史高点。

布朗兄弟哈里曼(BBH)的Elias Haddad报道,美元/菲律宾比索(USD/PHP)交易价格略低于历史高点,因原油价格上涨盖过了菲律宾中央银行(BSP)的鹰派举措。BSP将利率上调25个基点至4.50%,并发出进一步收紧的信号,预计2026年和2027年的通胀将超过4.0%的上限,但比索仍承压。

尽管BSP采取鹰派立场,比索依然疲软

“美元/菲律宾比索接近3月30日创下的63.8300历史高点,因原油价格上涨超过了菲律宾中央银行(BSP)的鹰派加息影响。”

“BSP将政策利率上调25个基点至4.50%,原因是‘中东持续冲突导致通胀前景恶化’。彭博社调查的分析师中约有一半预期加息,其余则预计维持不变。”

“此次加息是自2023年10月以来的首次加息,此前经历了过去20个月累计225个基点的降息周期。”

“行长Eli Remolona指出,加息决定‘并非一致通过’,但达成了‘良好共识’,并补充称也曾考虑过加息50个基点。重要的是,Remolona暗示未来还将有更多加息,强调‘一旦开始加息,我们很可能会继续加息’。事实上,BSP现在预计2026年和2027年的平均整体通胀将突破4.0%的容忍上限。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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