美元/日元:接近160,干预信号有限 – 星展银行
星展集团研究策略师常伟良指出,美元/日元正逐渐逼近此前曾触发干预的关键160水平,但日本官员却显得异常沉默

星展银行集团研究策略师常伟良指出,美元/日元正逐渐逼近曾引发干预的关键160水平,但日本官员的沉默引人注目。他认为,日本对中东石油的高度依赖和可观的战略储备意味着,美元/日元在接近160时可能会被容忍,预计日元的进一步贬值将是适度的。

关键心理水平悄然逼近

"美元/日元正逐渐接近曾引发干预的160心理水平,而日本官员缺乏言论尤为显著。"

"日本对中东原油进口的高度依赖,约70%的原油通过霍尔木兹海峡运输,这意味着政府和日本银行在应对冲突的经济后果时必须更加谨慎。"

"好消息是,日本拥有舒适的250天战略石油储备,并已宣布计划释放15天的私营部门石油储备和一个月的国家石油储备。"

"在能源进口成本上升和美元普遍走强的情况下,美元/日元接近160可能会被暂时容忍,但考虑到大量的战略缓冲,日元贬值不应过于剧烈。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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