欧元:丹麦银行预计欧洲央行将在基线和不利路径之间
丹麦银行(Danske Bank)研究团队表示,欧洲央行(ECB)行长拉加德重申了依赖数据的立场,未提供明确的前瞻指引。该银行认为,除非关键数据明显显示价格上涨压力,否则四月份采取行动的可能性降低。

丹麦银行丹麦研究团队表示,欧洲央行行长拉加德重申了依赖数据的立场,没有给出明确的前瞻指引。该银行认为,除非关键数据明显显示上行的价格压力,否则四月份加息的可能性较低。该团队评估欧元区处于基线和不利情景之间,后者意味着两次加息。

拉加德强调下一步行动需依赖数据

“在欧元区,拉加德没有给出任何明确的前瞻指引信号,除了欧洲央行依赖数据并准备采取行动。”

“她提到欧洲央行需要数据来采取行动,这在某种程度上反对四月份已经采取行动,除非重要数据发布明确显示显著的上行价格压力。”

“拉加德还表示,欧元区经济处于‘基线’和‘不利’情景之间。”

“在我们看来,基线情景将导致欧洲央行‘忽视’能源冲击,而‘不利’情景则应导致两次加息。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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