欧元:受加息猜测和采购经理人指数支持 – 丹麦银行
Danske 研究团队指出,尽管能源价格居高不下,欧元上周仍是G10货币中表现第二好的,仅次于挪威克朗(NOK)

Danske 研究团队指出,尽管能源价格居高不下,欧元上周仍是继挪威克朗(NOK)之后表现第二好的G10货币。这一走势与市场对欧洲央行(ECB)可能在4月就加息的猜测有关,推动欧元利率走高。本周的欧元区3月采购经理人指数(PMI)被视为关键数据。

欧元受益于欧洲央行重新定价

“继挪威克朗之后,欧元上周是表现最好的G10货币——这一表现令人惊讶,因为能源价格压力依然较大。”

“市场对欧洲央行可能在下次4月会议加息的猜测推高了欧元利率,并保持了欧元的强势支撑。”

“欧元区将发布3月消费者信心快报指标,这将初步反映消费者情绪如何应对伊朗战争及随之而来的能源价格上涨。”

“本周的关键市场事件包括明天发布的欧元区、英国和美国3月采购经理人指数,以及周四的挪威央行会议。”

“欧洲央行行长拉加德(Lagarde)语气平衡,可能反映了管理委员会内部的分歧。尽管纳格尔(Nagel)暗示如果通胀风险上升,4月可能加息,但其他成员态度更为谨慎,显示出相比2022年更为冷静的做法。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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