日元:160附近的争夺塑造了6月对美元的前景 – 三菱日联金融集团
三菱东京日联银行(MUFG)的井野哲平指出,美元/日元在160以下遇到强劲的上方阻力和潜在的干预风险。

三菱东京日联银行(MUFG)的井野哲平指出,美元/日元在160关口下方遇到强劲的上行阻力和潜在的干预风险。他预计,如果霍尔木兹海峡重新开放且能源进口恢复,日元(JPY)抛售将重新加剧,而进口价格上涨可能促使日本银行(BoJ)在6月加息。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)预计将维持观望,限制美元进一步走弱。

能源和政策施压日元

“美元/日元在160关口下方面临上行阻力和干预担忧。”

“然而,随着中东紧张局势缓解,霍尔木兹海峡重新开放,我们预计日元抛售压力将增加,因为能源进口的恢复将带来实际需求的日元抛售。”

“日本银行也可能在6月会议上考虑加息,因为进口价格上涨加速了国内通胀。”

“预计FOMC目前将维持观望,但美元进一步走弱可能会受到中东局势和通胀趋势发展的限制。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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