日元：日本央行加息风险及干预影响 – 三菱东京日联银行

日元：日本央行加息风险及干预影响 – 三菱东京日联银行

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三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）的Halpenny认为，日本央行（BoJ）很可能在6月16日加息25个基点，市场定价约为80%的概率。

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）的Halpenny认为，日本银行（BoJ）很可能在6月16日加息25个基点，市场定价约为80%的概率。他指出，东京通胀走弱部分反映了政府措施，而尽管财政部（MoF）创纪录的干预，日元（JPY）持续疲软，这表明BoJ的行动可能有助于遏制进一步的抛售，同时还需关注油价和收益率的变化。

日元持续疲软，BoJ预计将收紧政策

“BoJ对6月16日会议的定价略低于欧洲央行（ECB）——隐含概率约为80%加息25个基点。但行动仍然可能，尽管通胀有所缓解，落后于曲线的风险正在上升。”

“东京通胀走弱部分反映了政府措施，而财政部确认在4月28日至5月27日期间创纪录地买入11.7万亿日元后，日元持续疲软的情况值得关注。”

“采取行动将有助于遏制日元抛售，尽管中东局势、原油价格和全球收益率的变化也将是关键因素。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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