SEK：正的实际利率支持货币前景 – BBH

SEK：正的实际利率支持货币前景 – BBH

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布朗兄弟哈里曼（BBH）的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出，美元/瑞典克朗因美元普遍走弱而下跌，而瑞典4月份的通货紧缩意外走低，降低了瑞典央行加息预期。

布朗兄弟哈里曼（BBH）的埃利亚斯·哈达德指出，美元兑瑞典克朗（USD/SEK）因美元普遍走弱而下跌，而瑞典4月份的通胀降幅超出预期，降低了瑞典央行加息预期。掉期曲线已下调，趋近于央行预测的路径，利率预计将维持在1.75%，直到2026年底。哈达德强调，正的实际利率仍对瑞典克朗构成支撑。

深度通缩但实际收益率支持

“瑞典4月份的通缩意外加深，支持瑞典央行延长维持利率不变的理由。”

“掉期曲线下调，趋近于瑞典央行的政策利率路径。”

“3月货币政策报告显示，瑞典央行预计政策利率将维持在1.75%，直到2026年第四季度，随后到2028年第一季度加息25个基点至2.00%。”

“市场普遍预计瑞典央行将在明天连续第五次会议上维持政策利率在1.75%不变。”

“正的实际利率对瑞典克朗有利。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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