新加坡元:新加坡金融管理局立场使新加坡元保持防御性 – 三菱日联金融集团
MUFG的Lloyd Chan认为,新加坡元(SGD)相较于其他东盟货币更具防御性,这得益于新加坡金融管理局(MAS)紧缩的新加坡元名义有效汇率(S$NEER)政策,该政策稳定了波动性和通胀预期。

三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的Lloyd Chan认为,新加坡元(SGD)相较于其他东盟货币表现出较强的防御性,这得益于新加坡金融管理局(MAS)紧缩的新加坡元名义有效汇率(S$NEER)政策,该政策稳定了波动性和通胀预期。然而,Chan仍预计随着利差扩大,新加坡元对美元(USD)将出现适度走弱,并预计MAS将在7月会议上维持其紧缩立场不变。

新加坡元被视为相对有韧性

“在MAS的S$NEER框架下,SGD保持相对防御性,这抑制了外汇波动性和通胀预期,但由于利差扩大有利于美元,SGD仍可能对美元适度走弱。”

“总体策略在短期内仍看好美元对部分东盟货币,特别是泰铢(THB)、马来西亚林吉特(MYR)和印尼盾(IDR),而鉴于MAS紧缩的S$NEER政策立场,相对看好SGD。”

“我们预计MAS将在7月会议上维持其紧缩政策立场不变,因为稳健的增长可能使央行能够应对通胀风险。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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