印度：燃油税削减加剧预算前景压力 – 星展银行

印度：燃油税削减加剧预算前景压力 – 星展银行

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星展集团研究部的Radhika Rao强调了印度对全球能源价格高企和卢比走弱的财政应对措施。

星展集团研究部的Radhika Rao强调了印度对全球能源价格高企和卢比走弱的财政应对措施。政府已下调汽油和柴油的中央消费税，以支持国有石油营销公司并推迟油价上涨，但这意味着显著的财政收入损失。持续高企的能源成本和补贴对2027财年的财政赤字构成上行风险。

燃油税减免支持消费者但损失财政收入

“上周末，政府将汽油和柴油的中央消费税下调了每升10卢比，以支持因全球能源价格高企而承受损失的国有石油营销公司（OMCs）。”

“此举降低了为保护消费者而立即提高零售油价的必要性，但如果持续全年，将导致约1.7万亿卢比（占GDP的0.4-0.5%）的财政收入损失。”

“尽管采取了此举，全球价格高企和卢比走弱表明财政压力将持续，暗示下一步可能是进一步减税或提高燃油价格。”

“早在2022年，俄乌冲突爆发后，政府通过减税和调整油价的组合措施分担负担，同时也导致一定程度的需求减少。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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