英镑/日元从两个月低点反弹,因日元走弱;在英国CPI公布前重回208.00
英镑/日元在周三的亚洲时段吸引了一些买家,脱离了前一天触及的两个月低点,约在 207.25-207.20 区域。
  • 英镑/日元在周三因日元疲软而获得一些积极的推动。
  • 日本央行(BoJ)与英国央行(BoE)政策预期的分歧应限制现货价格的上涨空间。
  • 交易员们现在期待英国消费者通胀数据以获得新的动力。

英镑/日元在周三的亚洲交易时段吸引了一些买家,远离前一天触及的两个月低点207.25-207.20区域。此次反弹得益于日元(JPY)普遍走弱,使现货价格重新回到208.00以上,尽管更广泛的基本面背景对多头仍需保持谨慎。

在国际货币基金组织(IMF)警告削减消费税会侵蚀日本财政空间并增加债务风险后,关于日本公共财政的担忧再次浮现。此外,预计日本首相高市早苗将反对日本央行(BoJ)进一步加息,这在整体积极的风险情绪中削弱了日元。

然而,投资者仍然希望高市能够在财政上负责任,并且她的政策将促进经济增长。这可能促使日本央行坚持其政策正常化路径,从而限制日元的损失。此外,受周二令人失望的英国就业报告的支持,市场对英国央行(BoE)在3月份降息的押注削弱了英镑(GBP),并应限制英镑/日元交叉盘的上涨。

市场参与者现在期待最新的英国消费者通胀数据以获得一些有意义的推动。除此之外,日本的国家消费者物价指数(CPI)和周五的英国零售销售月度数据将有助于确定英镑/日元交叉盘的短期走势。然而,基本面背景表明,现货价格的最小阻力路径是向下的。

经济指标

英国消费者物价指数年率

英国(UK)消费者物价指数(CPI)由国家统计局每月发布,是衡量消费者价格通胀的指标——即家庭购买的商品和服务价格上涨或下跌的速度——按照国际标准制作。这是政府目标中使用的通胀指标。同比读数将参考月份的价格与一年前进行比较。一般来说,高读数被视为对英镑(GBP)利好,而低读数则被视为利空。

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下一次发布: 周三 2月 18, 2026 07:00

频率: 每月

预期值: 3%

前值: 3.4%

来源: Office for National Statistics

The Bank of England is tasked with keeping inflation, as measured by the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at around 2%, giving the monthly release its importance. An increase in inflation implies a quicker and sooner increase of interest rates or the reduction of bond-buying by the BOE, which means squeezing the supply of pounds. Conversely, a drop in the pace of price rises indicates looser monetary policy. A higher-than-expected result tends to be GBP bullish.

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