英镑:英格兰银行的降息偏向对英镑施加压力 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)的安杰·普雷夫克(Antje Praefcke)认为,疲弱的英国就业数据和仍然高企的通胀使得英国央行倾向于再次降息,3 月份仍然是一个可行的选择,此前2月份的决定非常接近。

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)的安杰·普雷夫克(Antje Praefcke)认为,疲弱的英国就业数据和仍然高企的通胀使得英国央行(BoE)倾向于再次降息,3 月份仍然是一个可行的选择,此前 2 月份的决定非常接近。她补充说,围绕首相的政治动荡加剧了负面背景,暗示英镑可能会在短期内承受下行压力。

疲弱的劳动数据和降息风险施压

"本周的数据应该会使英国央行(BoE)再次降息变得更容易,因为就业趋势仍然疲弱。"

"尽管市场仅略微调整了其利率预期,但考虑到疲弱的劳动市场数据,市场仍然认为 3 月份降息的可能性略有上升。"

"这似乎是合理的,因为在 2 月初决定维持利率不变的决定非常接近,并且为 3 月份的降息留出了很大的空间。"

"因此,除了围绕首相的政治动荡外,英国央行可能仍将继续降息,尽管通胀仍然高企,并且不太可能像英国央行所希望的那样迅速下降。"

"总的来说,英镑因此可能在短期内继续承受下行压力。"

(本文是借助人工智能工具创建,并由编辑审核。)

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