英镑:政治和英国央行立场引导英镑 – MUFG
MUFG的李哈德曼指出,随着欧元/英镑回落至0.8700,英镑上涨,受到英国经济增长数据强劲和英格兰银行行长贝利不愿明确发出3月降息信号的支持。然而,戈顿和登顿的紧张补选带来了政治风险,工党若败选可能会短暂影响英镑表现。

MUFG的李哈德曼指出,随着欧元/英镑回落至0.8700,英镑上涨,受到英国经济增长数据强劲和英格兰银行行长贝利不愿明确发出3月降息信号的支持。然而,戈顿和登顿的紧张补选带来了政治风险,工党若败选可能会短暂影响英镑表现。

补选风险对英镑情绪的影响

"本周初,英镑走强,导致欧元/英镑回落至0.8700水平,此前上周曾触及0.8752的高点。"

"英国利率市场略微降低了下个月降息的预期,但仍在定价约18个基点的降息。"

"本周末,英国的政治风险也将受到关注,可能会对英镑表现产生影响。"

"工党若败选,可能会增加对基尔·斯塔默作为首相的压力,并加剧工党在5月地方选举前对其人气下滑的担忧。"

"因此,工党败选有可能引发英镑至少暂时的抛售。"

(本文由人工智能工具协助创建,并由编辑审核。)

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