英国：补选可能冲击市场 – 荷兰银行

英国：补选可能冲击市场 – 荷兰银行

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荷兰银行的迈克尔·埃弗里强调了一场关键的英国补选，可能成为英镑和国债波动的催化剂。民调显示，改革英国党、绿党和工党支持率集中在27-28%之间，这意味着任何获胜者都将代表少数选民。改革英国党或绿党的胜利可能被解读为对5月和2029年英国选举的早期信号。

荷兰银行的迈克尔·埃弗里强调了一场关键的英国补选，可能成为英镑和国债波动的催化剂。民调显示，改革英国党、绿党和工党支持率集中在27-28%之间，这意味着任何获胜者都将代表少数选民。改革英国党或绿党的胜利可能被解读为对5月和2029年英国选举的早期信号。

碎片化的政治和市场反应风险

"还有一场关键的英国补选，被视为该国新碎片化政治格局的指示。"

"最新的民调显示，改革英国党、绿党和工党都在27-28%的选票上，这意味着任何获胜者都将代表选民的少数，可能来自于政策远离英国近期的奥弗顿窗口的政党。"

"特别是改革党或绿党的胜利，如果被视为英国未来走向的预兆，可能会引发市场反应，首先是在5月，然后是在2029年大选。"

(本文是通过人工智能工具创建，并由编辑审核。)

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