英国:政治风险推高长期收益率 – 德意志银行
德意志银行分析师指出,10年期英国国债收益率大幅上升,此前有报道称前美国大使彼得·曼德尔森未通过安全审查,且该决定据称被推翻。这被视为对首相斯塔默的不利因素,并引发了对其继任者可能放松财政规则、增加借款的担忧,进一步加大了国债发行和收益率的上行压力。

德意志银行分析师指出,10年期英国国债收益率大幅上升,此前有报道称前美国大使彼得·曼德尔森未通过安全审查,且该决定据称被推翻。这被视为对首相斯塔默的不利因素,并引发了对其继任者可能放松财政规则、增加借款的担忧,进一步加大了国债发行和收益率的上行压力。

财政担忧与政治因素压制国债

“最后在英国,10年期国债收益率(+3.4bps)在下午出现大幅上升,原因是一则《卫报》报道,前美国大使彼得·曼德尔森未通过该任命的安全审查,且该决定被外交部推翻。”

“这被视为对首相斯塔默立场的问题,因为他此前曾向下议院表示‘已遵循完整的正当程序’。”

“这导致市场反应负面,因为市场普遍认为斯塔默的继任者将面临放松财政规则和增加借款的压力,进而导致国债发行量上升。”

“与此同时,即使在该报道发布之前,国债表现也略显疲软,因为数据显示英国2月份GDP环比增长0.5%(预期为0.2%)。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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