加元:随着美元趋势延续,保持疲软 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,尽管受益于 5 月消费者物价指数(CPI)走强和美加利差趋稳,加元(CAD)对美元(USD)八个交易日来首次小幅上涨,但整体仍保持疲软基调。

加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩·奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克·特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,尽管受益于5月消费者物价指数(CPI)走强和美加利差趋稳,加元(CAD)对美元(USD)八个交易日来首次小幅上涨,但加元仍保持疲软基调。他们怀疑收益率差异很快会出现逆转,这意味着加元表现不佳的局面将持续。从技术面看,他们认为美元的多头趋势已超买,如果突破1.41,涨势可能延伸至1.43–1.45区间。

超买反弹瞄准1.43–1.45

“加元保持疲软基调,但昨日对美元小幅收高——这是八个交易日来的首次净涨幅。”

“美加利差的趋势可能趋于稳定,继昨日高于预期的5月CPI数据后,为加元带来小幅喘息机会。然而,收益率差异短期内不太可能逆转,这很可能意味着除非对美元前景进行更广泛的重新评估,否则加元将继续表现疲软。”

“中性/看涨——根据多项技术研究,美元多头趋势依然强劲且技术上处于超买状态。日线相对强弱指数(RSI)现为87,高于2025年初和2020年美元飙升至1.47/1.48时的水平。”

“昨日加元的小幅反弹可能预示美元多头趋势的暂时暂停,但目前价格走势中除超买信号外,几乎没有迹象表明加元将显著回升。”

“相反,美元若突破1.41上方,涨势可能延续至1.43-1.45区间。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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