铝:中东停产收紧供应 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)大宗商品团队指出,随着中东供应风险升级,伦敦金属交易所(LME)铝价上涨至3500美元/吨附近。阿联酋环球铝业的损坏以及巴林铝业可能的中断威胁着约320万吨的年产能。

荷兰国际集团(ING)大宗商品团队指出,随着中东供应风险升级,伦敦金属交易所(LME)铝价上涨至接近3500美元/吨。阿联酋全球铝业(Emirates Global Aluminium)遭受损害,巴林铝业(Aluminium Bahrain)可能面临中断,威胁到约320万吨的年产能。考虑到海湾地区此前的减产以及铝价有望实现10%的月度涨幅,市场供应显得日益紧张。

区域性中断支撑铝价

“随着中东供应风险升级,铝价周一上涨,伦敦金属交易所价格一度接近3500美元/吨。”

“阿联酋全球铝业(EGA)表示,其位于阿布扎比的冶炼厂遭受重大损害,而巴林铝业(Alba)正在评估其设施的影响,此前伊朗革命卫队称这些工厂是对美以空袭的报复目标。”

“这两家冶炼厂合计约占320万吨的年产能,任何长期停产都将进一步收紧本已紧张的市场,而重启冶炼厂成本高昂、复杂且耗时。”

“此次升级是在海湾地区供应条件已趋紧的基础上发生的。”

“巴林铝业近期的减产和卡塔尔铝业(Qatalum)运营减少已影响约56万吨的年产能,约占区域供应的8-9%。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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