美元/日元：区间交易伴随干预风险 – 华侨银行

美元/日元：区间交易伴随干预风险 – 华侨银行

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华侨银行策略师沈慕祥和黄志伟指出，美元/日元在日本央行（BoJ）略显鹰派的按兵不动后保持区间震荡，因谨慎的指引和高油价抹去了日元（JPY）最初的涨幅。

华侨银行策略师沈慕祥和黄志伟指出，美元/日元在日本央行（BoJ）略显鹰派的按兵不动后保持区间震荡，谨慎的指引和高油价抹去了日元（JPY）最初的涨幅。他们认为持续高企的油价限制了美元/日元跌破158的空间，而升至160以上则面临财政部（MoF）干预的风险，维持2026年底美元/日元目标价为155。

高油价和财政部风险限制极端走势

“在日本央行维持政策利率在0.75%并略显鹰派的按兵不动后，美元/日元走势震荡但最终无明显突破。”

“持续高企的油价使美元/日元跌破158变得困难。”

“相反，任何升至160以上的反弹都面临财政部干预，旨在将该货币对推回155水平。”

“总体而言，我们对日元保持谨慎，维持2026年底美元/日元目标价为155。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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