美元指数:DXY在区间内波动,关注通胀 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)Chris Turner 指出,随着对中东停火希望的减弱和油价上涨,美元本周初略显走强。他强调美国4月消费者物价指数(CPI)是关键数据,预计整体和核心通胀将走高。

荷兰国际集团(ING)的Chris Turner指出,随着对中东停火希望的减弱和油价的跳涨,美元本周初表现略显强势。他强调美国4月消费者物价指数(CPI)为关键数据,预计整体和核心通胀均将上升。Turner认为美联储(Fed)将保持谨慎,美元指数(DXY)可能维持在98.00-98.50区间内。

美元受滞胀背景支撑

“除非中国在幕后施加强烈压力促成协议,否则市场将继续定价为僵局、更高的油价和一波全球通胀。”

“预计整体通胀率将同比上升至3.7%(此前为3.3%),核心通胀率应上升至2.7%(此前为2.6%)。“

“鉴于滞胀冲击的全部影响尚未显现,我们难以看到美元会持续性大幅抛售。”

“这可能意味着美元指数(DXY)还会在98.00-98.50区间内震荡一段时间,而美元/日元则可能回升至158,尽管美国财政部长Scott Bessent本周初将访日,可能会对日本的外汇干预行动发表支持言论。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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