日元：对美元干预的可信度减弱 – 荷兰国际集团

日元：对美元干预的可信度减弱 – 荷兰国际集团

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荷兰国际集团（ING）分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱指出，即使在美元（USD）走软的时段，日元（JPY）依然疲软，表明市场希望测试官方的容忍度。

荷兰国际集团（ING）分析师弗朗切斯科·佩索莱指出，即使在美元（USD）走软的情况下，日元（JPY）依然疲弱，表明市场希望试探官方的容忍度。佩索莱强调160.0是一个关键水平，警告如果在该水平缺乏干预，可能会推动汇价回落至4月底干预区间160.60-160.70附近，波动率指标显示市场对政策有效性的信心正在减弱。

日元疲软挑战日本央行信誉

“无论如何，市场显然已经反映出此次干预行动效果递减的预期，且一个月隐含波动率仍远低于实际波动率。”

“与此同时，即使在美元走软的情况下，日元也难以找到支撑，显示出市场倾向于测试日本当局新的外汇干预门槛。”

“关键考验点位于160.0。如果届时未进行干预，应为重新测试4月30日日本央行介入的160.60-160.70区间铺平道路。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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