日元:兑美元看跌但动能放缓 – 大华银行
大华银行的郭世良和李秀安指出,美元/日元在收于159.19后大幅回落,有望测试158.70水平,但持续跌破该水平及158.40强支撑的可能性较小。

大华银行(UOB)的Quek Ser Leang和Lee Sue Ann指出,美元/日元在收于159.19后大幅回落,有可能测试158.70,但持续跌破该水平及158.40强支撑的可能性较小。他们维持中期看涨观点,指出有可能升破159.45,尽管进一步上涨不太可能威胁到2024年高点162.00。

美元/日元持稳涨势,关注支撑位

“24小时观点:上周四,美元升至159.34,随后回落,收于158.96,基本持平(+0.03%)。周五美元在159.05时,我们指出‘短暂上涨未带来上行动能增强’,预计美元将在158.80至159.25区间内波动。尽管美元实际波动区间较预期窄(158.87/159.23),但我们的判断并无错误。美元收于159.19(+0.14%),但今日大幅下跌。尽管下跌,向下动能并未明显增强。美元有机会测试158.70。持续跌破该水平的可能性不大,158.40的强支撑也不太可能受到威胁。阻力位在159.05和159.25。”

“1-3周观点:自本月中旬以来,我们一直持有美元看涨观点。在上周四(5月21日,现价158.85)的最新分析中,我们强调‘上行动能持续放缓,若跌破158.40(“强支撑”水平),美元前景将由看涨转为中性。’目前我们仍维持相同观点。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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