USD/CAD:区间风险偏向上行 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,加元(CAD)兑美元表现平淡,落后于大多数G10货币,因为在美联储(Fed)和加拿大央行(BoC)会议后,收益率利差转向有利于美元。

加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)策略师肖恩·奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克·特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,加元(CAD)兑美元表现平淡,落后于大多数G10货币同行,因美联储(Fed)和加拿大央行(BoC)会议后收益率利差转向支持美元。该行对美元/加元的公允价值估计已上升至1.35附近,而技术面显示在1.3700–1.3750区间内偏中性至看涨。

收益率利差支持美元,加元表现落后

“加元表现平淡,进入周四北美交易时段兑美元持平,同时表现落后于大多数G10货币同行。”

“在周三美联储和加拿大央行会议之后,相对央行政策前景正在转变,收益率利差因美联储放缓的鸽派指引而扩大。”

“我们对美元/加元的公允价值估计已攀升至1.3498,主要反映了收益率利差的变化。”

“中性/看涨——美元/加元的风险正在转变,RSI显著上升显示看涨动能。总体而言,我们在1.3750以下保持中性,但承认突破的可能性。”

“我们预计200日均线1.3802附近将有显著阻力。短期内预计在1.3700至1.3750区间震荡。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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