印度卢比:在压力下的政策支持 – 三菱日联金融集团
三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的迈克尔·万指出,随着霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势对资本流动和国际收支造成压力,印度已公布了多项与紧缩相关的政策措施。

三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的Michael Wan指出,随着霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势对资本流动和国际收支造成压力,印度公布了多项与紧缩相关的政策措施。印度当局大幅提高了黄金和白银的进口关税,并限制免税黄金进口,以支持印度卢比(INR),同时还考虑降低债券的预扣税。MUFG对印度卢比相较于G10和亚洲货币持谨慎态度。

印度政策调整与卢比展望

“印度本周出台了一系列重要政策举措,均与政府在霍尔木兹海峡引发的资本流动和国际收支压力下推动的紧缩措施有关。”

“财政部将黄金和白银的进口关税从6%提高至15%,自5月13日起生效,并于周四将预先授权计划下的免税黄金进口限额设定为每次批准100公斤——这些措施旨在遏制非必要进口并支持持续创纪录低点的卢比。”

“此外,彭博新闻报道,印度正考虑大幅降低外国投资者在国内债券上缴纳的预扣税,此举是印度储备银行向财政部推荐的。”

“总体而言,我们继续对印度卢比持谨慎态度,并认为即使在局势缓和的基本情形下,印度卢比仍将表现不及主要G10货币和亚洲货币。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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