澳元:对美元整体区间内持中性立场 – 大华银行
大华银行(UOB)的郭世良报道,澳元/美元从0.6867急剧反弹至0.6930,此举被视为过度反应,预计盘中交易将在0.6890至0.6930之间,且低于0.6935。

大华银行(UOB)分析师郭世良报告称,澳元/美元从0.6867急剧反弹至0.6930,此举被视为过度拉伸,预计盘中交易将在0.6890至0.6930之间,且位于0.6935以下。郭世良已将1至3周的观点调整为中性,预计区间为0.6870至0.6980,尽管其1至3个月的前景仍偏向负面,若跌破0.6835,目标将指向0.6707。

澳元在急剧反弹后盘整

“24小时观点:昨日亚洲早盘时段澳元位于0.6885,我们指出:‘尽管下行动能略有增强,今日偏向下行,但任何下跌可能被限制在0.6865至0.6900区间内。澳元不太可能明显跌破0.6865。’我们的下行判断并未错误,澳元确实下探至0.6867低点,但我们未预料到随后强劲反弹至0.6930高点。反弹似乎过快,澳元更可能在较高水平盘整,预计在0.6890至0.6930之间。本次澳元不太可能明显突破0.6935。”

“1至3周观点:我们在上月中旬转为看空澳元(如下图所示)。在我们周一(6月29日,现价0.6895)的最新分析中提到,‘下行动能开始减弱。’我们补充道,‘若突破0.6940(“强阻力”位),则表明0.6835已不再可及。’昨日,澳元跌至0.6867后强劲反弹至0.6930高点。尽管‘强阻力’尚未突破,但下行动能已消退。我们现对澳元持中性看法,预计短期内将在0.6870至0.6980区间内交易。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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