澳元:通胀走软挑战澳洲联储立场 – BNY
BNY的Geoff Yu报道,澳大利亚墨尔本研究所的通胀指标在6月再次下降,整体和修剪平均值指标均有所缓和。

BNY的Geoff Yu报道,澳大利亚墨尔本研究所的通胀指标在6月再次下降,整体和修剪平均值指标均有所缓解。Yu指出,这表明通缩趋势更加稳固,并暗示澳大利亚储备银行可能需要放弃其中性立场,因为如果通胀持续走软,当前市场对进一步收紧的定价看起来脆弱。

通缩削弱紧缩押注

“澳大利亚墨尔本研究所通胀指标6月环比下降0.4%,主要受燃料价格下跌推动。”

“继5月下降0.3%之后,这是连续第二个月价格走弱。”

“同比增速从4.4%放缓至3.9%,修剪平均值环比下降0.5%,此前下降0.1%,同比增速从3.6%降至2.8%。”

“这一快照显示整体和核心价格压力均有所缓解,表明通缩趋势正在稳固。”

“这可能迫使澳储行转变其中性立场,如果通胀动能持续走软,市场对年底前35个基点紧缩的定价现在看起来越来越脆弱。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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