加拿大:财政更新预计赤字略有改善 – 道明证券
道明证券(TD Securities)分析师预计,加拿大春季经济更新将显示2026–27年期间赤字为600亿加元,略好于之前的预算赤字。

道明证券(TD Securities)的分析师预计,加拿大春季经济更新将显示2026-27年期间出现600亿加元的赤字,略好于之前预算的赤字。他们将这一改善归因于名义国内生产总值(GDP)增长带动的收入增加以及仅有适度的新支出,同时认为借款计划变化有限,因为国库券和加拿大强劲基金结构吸收了资金需求。

更强的收入抵消适度的新支出

“联邦政府计划于周二东部时间16:00发布春季经济更新(SEU),我们预计2026-27年赤字为600亿加元,较2025年预算中的654亿加元赤字有所改善。”

“这一改善源于名义GDP上调后预算收入的增加,以及更新中适度的新支出。”

“我们预计2026-27年的借款预测不会有实质性变化,国库券能够吸收新的支出措施。”

“新的加拿大强劲基金还将需要约80亿加元/年的资金(直到28-29年),其250亿加元的捐赠基金将在三年内分摊。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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