加拿大央行:政策按兵不动风险凸显 – 荷兰合作银行
荷兰合作银行(Rabobank)全球策略师迈克尔·埃弗里(Michael Every)预计加拿大央行(BoC)将维持政策利率在2.25%,与彭博社共识和市场定价一致。

荷兰合作银行全球策略师迈克尔·埃弗里(Michael Every)预计加拿大央行(BoC)将维持政策利率在2.25%,这与彭博社共识和市场定价一致。埃弗里指出霍尔木兹海峡相关的通胀压力,但强调美墨加协定(USMCA)不确定性、美国关税、投资疲软和贸易拖累正在影响加拿大经济,加拿大经济被描述为脆弱且接近技术性衰退。

随着经济疲软,加拿大央行预计将按兵不动

“今天是加拿大央行的政策决定日。我们预计其将维持政策利率在2.25%,彭博分析师和市场定价均预期在高度不确定性下不会有变动。”

“霍尔木兹海峡正产生通胀影响,但持续的美墨加协定谈判和现有的美国关税正在拖累加拿大企业投资和消费者信心,即使协议暂时延长,不确定性可能仍将持续。”

“事实上,加拿大经济脆弱,投资疲软和贸易拖累显示出技术性衰退的迹象。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,并由编辑审核。)

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