加拿大元:增长前景稳定,GDP 温和 – 加拿大皇家银行
加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家克莱尔·范(Claire Fan)指出,加拿大第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)出现收缩,但失业率等过剩产能指标仍与之前的跟踪数据一致。范维持其增长前景不变,反而下调了潜在GDP的预估。

加拿大皇家银行(RBC)经济学家Claire Fan指出,加拿大第一季度国内生产总值(GDP)出现收缩,但失业率等过剩产能指标仍与之前的跟踪一致。Fan维持其增长前景不变,但下调了潜在GDP估计。加拿大央行(BoC)和美联储(Fed)的政策利率被视为适当,预计两大央行将维持利率至2026年。

GDP疲软但前景不变

“加拿大第一季度国内生产总值出现收缩,但包括失业率在内的经济过剩指标仍与我们之前的跟踪一致。”

“我们维持增长前景不变,同时将疲软传导至较低的潜在GDP估计。”

“加拿大央行和美国联邦储备委员会当前的政策利率仍然适当。”

“我们追踪到加拿大存在适度的过剩供给,而美国则存在过剩需求。”

“预计两大央行将维持利率至2026年,加拿大央行随后将适度加息,而美联储将保持观望。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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