美元：避险资金流动与去美元化辩论 – 荷兰合作银行

美元：避险资金流动与去美元化辩论 – 荷兰合作银行

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荷兰合作银行高级外汇策略师简·福利（Jane Foley）观察到，随着美元在中东冲突期间成为首选避险货币，投机者一直在重建美元多头头寸。

荷兰合作银行高级外汇策略师简·福利（Jane Foley）观察到，随着中东冲突期间美元作为首选避险货币，投机者一直在重建美元多头头寸。她强调，美元多头头寸仍低于过去的峰值，且来自俄罗斯、中国和欧盟的去美元化压力依然存在，尽管短期美元走势仍应取决于风险偏好和美国利率预期。

美元头寸与结构性挑战

“最新发布的CFTC外汇头寸数据显示，投机者继续重建美元多头头寸。”

“目前，我们仍预计美元将在风险偏好减弱时充当避险货币，且由于降息预期减少，美元可能获得额外支撑。”

“CFTC投机者头寸数据显示，尽管自2月底以来美元现货市场价值有所提升，但当前美元多头头寸远低于近年来的峰值。”

“我们认为，美元的避险资质建立在其流动性及其作为全球交易货币的地位之上。”

“这表明目前美元可能仍将保持避险货币的地位。”

（本文借助人工智能工具撰写，并由编辑审核。）

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