美元/日元：干预后上行受限 – 道明证券

美元/日元：干预后上行受限 – 道明证券

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道明证券（TD Securities）策略师预计，继日本财务省（MoF）近期干预引发3%跌幅后，美元/日元将在2026年第二季度围绕157.00盘整。

道明证券（TD Securities）策略师预计，继日本财务省（MoF）近期干预引发美元/日元下跌3%后，美元/日元将在2026年第二季度围绕157.00盘整。他们认为，市场现将160.00视为一道分水岭，限制上涨空间并阻止新的多头入场，同时预计该货币对回撤至干预前水平的速度将比以往更慢。

盘整，160.00作为上行阻力

“美元/日元上周四因财务省干预下跌3%。”

“随着市场现将160.00视为隐含的分水岭，美元/日元的上行空间看起来越来越受限，这应会阻止投机者重新介入美元/日元多头。”

“我们还预计回撤至干预前水平所需时间将长于以往：历史上，财务省倾向于对抗投机性、波动性较大的走势，而非守住某一具体点位。”

“继上周日元干预后，美元/日元的最小阻力路径可能是在我们第二季度157.00预测附近盘整。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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