美元/日元：收益率利差维持货币对高位——北欧银行

美元/日元：收益率利差维持货币对高位——北欧银行

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北欧银行预计，由于美日收益率差距持续扩大且日本央行保持非常宽松的政策，美元/日元将维持高位。尽管预计日本央行将逐步实现正常化，但这一进程被认为过于温和，短期内难以显著削弱日元。

北欧银行预计，随着美日利差持续扩大且日本央行保持极度宽松政策，美元/日元将维持高位。尽管预计日本央行将逐步实现政策正常化，但其力度被认为过于温和，短期内难以显著削弱日元。北欧银行指出，如果美元/日元过度上涨，存在干预风险，但其预测并未基于此。

利差扩大支撑日元走弱

“只要美联储保持鹰派立场且美国收益率远高于日本收益率，而日本央行仅非常缓慢地实现政策正常化，我们预计美元/日元将维持高位。”

“即使日本央行进一步调整收益率曲线控制框架，我们也怀疑这些措施本身足以在短期内引发日元对美元的持续且显著升值。”

“如果美元/日元上涨过快或显著突破近期高点，日本当局可能会加强口头或实际的外汇干预，但我们的核心预测并未基于反复大规模干预。”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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