欧元/美元:关注美国CPI和美联储降息 - 德意志银行
德意志银行分析师指出,欧元/美元几乎没有变化,美元指数小幅上升,市场在等待1月份美国CPI的公布

德意志银行分析师指出,欧元/美元变化不大,美元指数小幅上涨,市场在等待1月份美国CPI的发布。该行的美国经济学家预计,CPI的整体数据将较为疲软,但核心数据将更为坚挺,交易员在美国数据疲软后提高了美联储降息的预期,同时仍在为新任美联储主席的进一步宽松定价。

关注美国通胀和美联储预期

"展望未来,今天的关注将转向1月份的美国CPI数据,这比预期晚了几天,因为部分政府停摆。"

"这是一项重要的数据,因为市场仍然预计在新任美联储主席的领导下会有进一步的降息,但像周三的就业报告这样的强劲数据让人们对这一可能性产生了一些怀疑。"

"就预期而言,我们的美国经济学家预测1月份的月度整体CPI将为+0.26%,低于12月份的+0.31%。"

"然而,他们认为整体通胀将受到-2.4%汽油价格下跌的影响,这意味着核心CPI在当月应相对强劲,达到+0.35%。"

"例如,12月会议定价的降息幅度当天上升了+5.3个基点,达到53个基点。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并经过编辑审核。)

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