欧元/美元：下半年上涨空间有限 – 荷兰合作银行

欧元/美元：下半年上涨空间有限 – 荷兰合作银行

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荷兰合作银行高级外汇策略师简·福利预计利率差异将在今年下半年支撑欧元/美元的上行偏好，但由于当前供应冲击带来的欧元区增长阻力，欧元涨幅将受到限制。

荷兰合作银行高级外汇策略师简·福利预计利率差异将在今年下半年支撑欧元/美元的上行偏好，但欧元涨幅将受到当前供应冲击带来的欧元区增长阻力的限制。福利不认为欧元/美元今年会达到1.20，并预计下半年任何反弹都缺乏强烈信心。

欧元涨幅受增长风险限制

“虽然我们确实预计利率差异将在下半年促使欧元/美元出现上行偏好，但我们预期欧元的上行潜力将受到欧元区因当前供应冲击可能遭受的增长打击的限制。”

“我们的核心观点仍然是欧元/美元今年将难以达到1.20。”

“然而，我们继续认为美元的基本面稳健，而欧元区对当前供应冲击更为脆弱。”

“因此，我们不预计市场会将多头欧元头寸重建至去年的水平，且预计欧元/美元下半年的任何上涨都将缺乏强烈信心。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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