欧元/美元:下行偏向取决于是否跌破1.1665 – 大华银行
大华银行集团(UOB)分析师郭世良和李秀安指出,欧元/美元在早前走弱后已在窄幅区间内反弹,近期的价格走势被视为短期盘整的一部分。

大华银行分析师郭世良和李秀安指出,欧元/美元在早期走弱后已在窄幅区间内反弹,近期价格走势被视为短期盘整的一部分。在1至3周的时间范围内,他们仍然认为存在进一步下行的空间,但强调若要持续下探至1.1625,需明确跌破并守稳1.1665以下,而1.1750则限制了上行空间。

短期区间,偏空风险

“24小时观点:我们预期欧元上周四将下跌,但指出‘动能的增强不足以表明会跌至1.1665。’随后欧元跌至1.1668低点,我们在周五指出,‘虽然尚无反弹迹象,但下行动能开始放缓,欧元今天更可能在1.1665至1.1715区间内波动,而非继续下跌。’欧元随后跌至1.1671,升至1.1723,最终收于1.1720(+0.32%)。当前欧元的价格波动很可能属于区间交易阶段,区间大致在1.1685至1.1730之间。”

“1-3周观点:上周五(4月24日,现价1.1685),我们指出‘下行动能进一步增强,但欧元必须跌破并守稳1.1665以下,才可预期下探至1.1625。’我们补充道,‘只要当前的“强阻力”位1.1750未被突破,欧元明显跌破1.1665的可能性仍然存在。’我们继续持有相同观点。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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