欧元区采购经理人指数显示两速复苏 – 道明证券
道明证券(TD Securities)全球策略团队报告称,6 月欧元区采购经理人指数(PMI)确认了德国制造业趋于稳定与法国服务业仍然疲弱之间的分歧。

道明证券(TD Securities)全球策略团队报告称,6 月欧元区采购经理人指数(PMI)确认了德国制造业趋于稳定与法国服务业仍然疲软之间的分歧。德国制造业徘徊在 50 附近,情绪改善且新订单触底回升,而法国服务业需求和新订单下降,导致折扣促销,尽管面临成本压力,雇佣和信心仅有初步恢复。

德国制造业企稳,法国服务业落后

“6 月 PMI 指数显示制造业和服务业之间持续存在两速动态。”

“德国制造业保持稳定,PMI 读数为 50.0(道明证券预测:50.0;市场预期:50.2;前值:50.1)。“

“情绪正在改善,新订单大体触底,这有助于支撑产出,尽管就业持续下降,因为企业保持谨慎,等待需求更持久的复苏。”

“相比之下,法国服务业仍然明显受需求限制,PMI 为 47.4(道明证券预测:45.5;市场预期:46.0;前值:44.3)。“

“该领域活动仍在收缩,尽管速度放缓,新订单在客户需求疲软和持续不确定性的影响下继续下降,企业依赖折扣促销以刺激活动,尽管面临投入成本压力,而就业仅保持稳定,信心仅随着中东冲突的解决初步恢复。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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