欧元：随着美元维持高位，市场情绪走弱——BNY

欧元：随着美元维持高位，市场情绪走弱——BNY

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BNY市场宏观策略主管Bob Savage指出，欧元承压，随着欧盟和欧元区经济情绪指数进一步跌破100，欧元/美元接近1.15。

BNY市场宏观策略主管Bob Savage指出，欧元承压，欧元/美元接近1.15，因欧盟和欧元区经济信心指数进一步跌破100。报告指出，欧元因滞胀和能源问题遭到大量抛售，鉴于持续的宏观逆风和上升的价格预期，流入欧元的再平衡资金可能会保持谨慎。

信心疲软与滞胀担忧

“即使撇开基础资产表现不谈，基于自2月底以来的月度平滑资金流，市场的主要主题相当明确：印度卢比和欧元是被抛售最多的货币，受到国际收支和滞胀担忧的影响。”

“正常的再平衡应当是这些头寸的反转，即增持印度卢比和欧元，减持人民币和巴西雷亚尔。”

“然而，支撑这些头寸的基本驱动因素并未消失，反而可能增强。”

“3月欧盟经济信心下降1.5点至96.7，欧元区信心下降1.6点至96.6，均进一步低于长期平均值100。”

“整体不确定性增加，价格预期在各行业上升，显示增长动力减弱。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，编辑审核。）

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