欧元：随着政策路径分歧，上行空间略有缩小 – 荷兰合作银行

欧元：随着政策路径分歧，上行空间略有缩小 – 荷兰合作银行

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荷兰银行（ABN AMRO）的比尔·迪瓦尼（Bill Diviney）预计美元将普遍走弱，但在修订该行对欧洲央行（ECB）的展望并纳入法国和美国选举风险后，他指出欧元/美元的上涨空间略有减少。

ABN AMRO 的 Bill Diviney 预计美元将普遍走弱，但在修订了该行对欧洲央行的展望并纳入法国和美国选举风险后，欧元/美元的上涨空间略有减少。鉴于欧洲央行预计将再加息一次，而美联储则比市场预期更为鸽派，ABN AMRO 现预测欧元/美元 2026 年将达到 1.18，2027 年将达到 1.23。

选举风险抑制欧元涨势

“我们仍然预计美元将更广泛地走弱。”

“然而，由于两项发展，我们对欧元/美元的预测做出了适度调整。”

“综合来看，这些因素表明今年和明年欧元/美元的上涨空间略有减少。”

“我们新的年终预测是 2026 年为 1.18，2027 年为 1.23。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，并由编辑审核。）

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