欧元/英镑:英国短期债券表现预计逊于欧元区 – 荷兰国际集团
荷兰国际集团(ING)分析师弗朗切斯科-佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出,英国央行(BOE)的紧缩预期进一步缓解,官员们的鹰派言论不及欧洲央行(ECB)强硬。

荷兰国际集团(ING)的弗朗切斯科·佩索莱(Francesco Pesole)指出,英国央行(BoE)收紧预期进一步缓解,官员们的鹰派言论不及欧洲央行(ECB)强烈。他预计英国(UK)短端利率的下跌幅度将超过欧元区,这将在中期内支撑欧元/英镑(EUR/GBP)。目前风险情绪改善对该货币对构成压力,但一旦波动性消退,利差预计将重新成为主要驱动力。

英国央行谨慎态度支撑欧元/英镑中期上涨

“英国央行收紧预期昨日继续减弱,12月的定价下跌10个基点至34个基点。伴随着对冲突解决的乐观情绪,英国央行官员的鹰派语气仍明显低于欧洲央行同行。”

“昨日,安德鲁·贝利(Andrew Bailey)和梅根·格林(Megan Greene)再次强调需要考虑二次效应(我们认为在英国将有限),并指出在评估政策影响前应保持耐心。”

“总体来看,最新进展使我们对英国短端利率将比欧元区进一步下跌的判断保持信心,这应在中期内为欧元/英镑提供持久支撑。”

“目前,该货币对因风险情绪改善而承压,但一旦尘埃落定,利差将重新成为主要驱动力。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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