日元:兑美元在160以下盘整 – 星展银行
星展银行(DBS)外汇及信贷策略师张伟良表示,美元/日元正在159附近盘整,因市场对潜在干预保持警惕,且犹豫是否测试160水平。

星展银行外汇及信贷策略师张伟良表示,美元/日元汇率在159附近盘整,市场对潜在干预保持警惕,犹豫不决是否测试160。他认为,油价走软和美国收益率下降应支持日元(JPY),而强劲的外部需求可能使日本银行(BoJ)有信心在6月加息,除非出现财政失误。

因干预担忧,汇价维持在159附近

“美元/日元在159附近盘整,市场对干预保持警惕,避免测试160。”

“油价暂时回落和美国收益率下滑应支持日元,但市场也担心高市长高市智可能推出的追加预算,这可能打击信心。”

“与此同时,日本4月贸易数据与东亚邻国一样强劲,出口同比增长14.8%(3月:11.5%),得益于芯片需求强劲。”

“进口增长因中东地区油品采购减少而放缓,导致贸易顺差超出预期。”

“这可能使日本银行有信心在6月加息,如果没有财政失误,日元应会因此走强。”

(本文借助人工智能工具撰写,并由编辑审核。)

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