日元:投资者资金流向显示债券需求转变 – 三菱日联金融集团
三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)研究主管德里克·哈尔彭尼(Derek Halpenny)指出,日本投资者,尤其是银行和寿险公司,在二月和三月大量抛售海外债券,可能包括美国国债(USTs)和欧洲政府债券(EGBs),创下两个月净卖出纪录。

三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)研究主管Derek Halpenny指出,日本投资者,尤其是银行和寿险公司,在二月和三月大量抛售外国债券,可能包括美国国债(USTs)和欧洲政府债券(EGBs),创下了两个月净卖出纪录。他表示,财年末因素和美元兑日元汇率走高促使获利了结,未来的资金流向将显示需求是否回归日本国债(JGBs)。

日本创纪录的外国债券抛售

“根据日本财务省(MoF)发布的跨境资金流动数据,我们现在知道日本投资者在三月的债券市场抛售中扮演了重要角色。”

“财务省昨日发布的数据揭示,日本投资者三月抛售了价值3,7570亿日元的外国债券,此前二月抛售了3,4220亿日元。”

“美元兑日元汇率高于预期,加上强劲反弹,可能促使银行获利了结;而对于寿险公司来说,持仓可能已超出计划的资产配置,也促使其抛售外国债券。”

“通常情况下,随着新财年的展开,这些抛售行为后会出现显著买盘,但当前形势不同,因此观察日本投资者是否会迅速恢复买入将非常有趣。”

“这是否是我们看到更多抛售资金回流日本国内债券市场的时机?”

“目前几乎没有证据表明日本投资者正转向更多购买日本国债,但在创纪录的两个月抛售期后,未来几个月外国债券的买入力度将是评估可能转变的另一个指标。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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