日元：围绕日本央行和美联储的高风险博弈 – 法国兴业银行

日元：围绕日本央行和美联储的高风险博弈 – 法国兴业银行

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法国兴业银行指出，美元/日元在160附近交易，尽管油价走低且市场预期日本央行将加息25个基点，但每次下跌均被买入。

法国兴业银行指出美元/日元在160附近交易，尽管油价下跌且市场预期日本央行将加息25个基点，但每次回调均被买入。他们强调，日本央行的加息被视为既定事实，但关注点在于什么因素可能缩小2年期美日国债利差并缓解干预压力，因为投机性日元空头头寸已达到多年高位。

尽管日本央行加息，日元仍承压

“美元/日元：隔夜区间159.74 - 160.28。”

“尽管油价下跌且日本央行明天有望加息25个基点，回调仍被买入，暗示市场押注美联储将采取偏鹰派的维持利率立场。”

“支撑位159，阻力位161.20。”

“尤其是美元/日元，风险正在加大。”

“日本央行明天加息25个基点应是既定事实，但究竟是什么因素会促使2年期美日国债利差缩小并减轻干预压力？”

（本文借助人工智能工具生成，并由编辑审核。）

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