泰铢:低收益率导致泰铢表现不佳 – 三菱日联金融集团
三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的Lloyd Chan认为,尽管油价走低,泰铢(THB)走弱反映了其低收益率特征以及泰国央行(BoT)以增长为重点的立场,这限制了紧缩的空间。

三菱日联金融集团(MUFG)的Lloyd Chan认为,尽管油价下跌,泰铢(THB)走弱反映了其低收益率特征以及泰国央行(BoT)以增长为重点的立场,这限制了紧缩的空间。美国(US)收益率上升已将泰国的投资组合资金流转为净流出,加剧了贬值压力,使泰铢相较于美元(USD)表现逊于其他区域货币。

收益率和资金流出拖累泰铢

“对于泰铢而言,尽管油价下跌,近期的疲软凸显了其与贸易条件缓解压力的脱钩。”

“相反,泰铢目前受到其低收益率特征和泰国央行以增长为重点的政策立场的拖累,这限制了货币政策紧缩的空间。”

“尽管油价下跌缓解了部分压力,但美国收益率上升已引发泰国净外资组合资金流出(6月净流出3.79亿美元,而5月净流入6.8亿美元),加剧了贬值压力,解释了泰铢的表现不佳。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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