泰铢：能源冲击使泰铢承压 – 三菱日联金融集团

泰铢：能源冲击使泰铢承压 – 三菱日联金融集团

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三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）的劳埃德·陈（Lloyd Chan）认为，泰铢特别容易受到中东冲突持续和油价高企的影响。泰国巨大的石油和天然气净逆差、贸易条件恶化以及相对较低的国内收益率削弱了该货币的吸引力。

三菱日联金融集团（MUFG）的劳埃德·陈（Lloyd Chan）认为，泰铢特别容易受到中东冲突持续和油价高企的影响。泰国巨大的净石油和天然气逆差、贸易条件恶化以及相对较低的国内收益率削弱了该货币的吸引力。报告总结称，这些因素使得泰铢在对美元汇率中面临进一步下行风险。

巨额石油逆差拖累泰铢

“泰铢在中东冲突持续的情况下显得尤为脆弱。”

“泰国拥有该地区最大的净石油和天然气贸易逆差之一，使其外部状况高度暴露于能源价格冲击。”

“与此同时，国内收益率仍然相对较低，而在经历了2025年一段时间的通缩后，5月份的整体通胀率已回升至接近3%，侵蚀了泰铢的实际利差吸引力。”

“贸易条件恶化与有限的利差支持相结合，使得泰铢特别容易承受进一步的下行压力，尤其是在中东紧张局势进一步升级的情况下。”

（本文由人工智能工具协助生成，并由编辑审核。）

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