亚洲外汇:霍尔木兹风险持续,走势震荡 – 华侨银行
华侨银行策略师Christopher Wong和Sim Moh Siong指出,亚洲外汇市场,包括韩元(KRW),因对中东局势缓和的希望而略显走强,但强调地缘政治仍是主要驱动力。

华侨银行策略师黄志强和沈慕祥指出,亚洲外汇市场,包括韩元(KRW),因对中东局势缓和的希望而略显走强,但强调地缘政治仍是主要驱动力。他们认为,亚洲外汇的任何进一步反弹将取决于有关霍尔木兹海峡潜在协议的具体细节。在此类明确信息出现之前,黄志强预计大多数亚洲外汇将维持盘整走势。

反弹取决于霍尔木兹海峡的明确信息

“地缘政治仍是主导因素,市场关注缓和的希望,同时特朗普总统升级威胁起到制衡作用。目前尚不清楚这是否会成为另一个‘跟进暂停’的时刻,但包括韩元在内的大多数亚洲外汇昨夜略有走强。”

“市场可能需要的是关于霍尔木兹海峡重新开放时间表的明确信息,以及伊朗是否获得保障。如果这些细节得到确认,那么包括韩元在内的高风险货币很可能率先实现反弹。”

“如果缓和局势占上风,进一步的反弹不可排除。但反弹幅度将取决于协议的具体内容——是否为临时停火。”

“但在获得任何细节之前,大多数亚洲外汇在此期间应维持盘整走势。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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