印度卢比:新的CPI系列和印度储备银行立场 – 德国商业银行
德国商业银行(Commerzbank)分析师解释称,印度新的CPI系列数据显示,1月份的通胀率为2.8%,回到印度央行(RBI)2-6%的目标区间内。重新加权的篮子减少了食品的比重,应该会降低波动性

德国商业银行(Commerzbank)分析师解释称,印度新的CPI系列显示1月份通胀同比为2.8%,重新回到印度储备银行(RBI)2-6%的目标区间。重新加权的篮子减少了食品的比重,应该会降低波动性。随着通胀得到控制,财政政策和贸易协议支持经济增长,预计RBI将在5.25%的政策利率上保持不变。

通胀重新加权及政策影响

"在新的CPI系列中,1月份CPI同比上涨2.8%,而在以2014年为基年的旧系列中,12月份为1.3%。"

"在新的CPI系列下,通胀自2025年8月以来首次回到印度储备银行(RBI)2-6%的目标区间。"

"重新加权应减少整体波动性,并且由于天气原因对食品价格的剧烈波动的敏感性降低。"

"在货币政策方面,预计RBI将在4月8日的下次会议上保持5.25%的政策利率不变。"

"预计短期内通胀将保持在可控范围内。"

(本文由人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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