Swiss Franc: Gains against US Dollar gather pace – UOB

USD/CHF closed 0.80% lower. United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight the sharp decline as the pair tests key support levels. A brief intraday break below 0.8165 is possible, they say, but oversold conditions could constrain further losses. Over 1–3 weeks, rapidly building downward momentum signals a move towards 0.8165, with 0.8140 also a possibility. Rallies must remain capped by resistance at 0.8255 for the bearish bias to hold.

Dollar Under Pressure as Swiss Franc Strengthens

"24-HOUR VIEW: USD dropped to a low of 0.8191 last Friday and then rebounded to close at 0.8250. Yesterday, we indicated that “momentum indicators are turning flat” and we held the view that USD “is likely to range-trade between 0.8225 and 0.8270.” We did not expect the sharp drop that sent USD to a low of 0.8174. USD closed sharply lower, down 0.80% at 0.8184. Today, USD could break below the major support at 0.8165. Given the deeply oversold conditions, USD might not be able to hold below 0.8165. The next support at 0.8140 is unlikely to come into view. Resistance is at 0.8200, followed by 0.8220."

"1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Last Friday (30 Oct, spot at 0.8240), we highlighted “the slight increase in downward momentum suggests USD could edge lower.” However, we held the view that “any decline should stay within a 0.8190/0.8290 range.” In a sudden and sharp move yesterday, USD broke below 0.8190 and plunged to a low of 0.8174. Downward momentum is increasing rapidly, and USD could decline to 0.8165, potentially testing 0.8140. To keep the momentum going, USD must hold below the ‘strong resistance’ level, now at 0.8255."

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