加拿大元兑美元在1.39附近呈现看跌偏向 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)指出,加元(CAD)兑美元(USD)走软,美元/加元在与美伊紧张局势重新升温相关的温和避险情绪环境中,交易接近新的局部高点。

加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩-奥斯本和埃里克-特罗雷特指出,加元(CAD)兑美元(USD)走软,美元/加元在与美伊紧张局势重新升温相关的温和避险情绪环境中,交易接近新的局部高点。美国与加拿大的收益率利差扩大以及加拿大央行(BoC)有限的指引对加元形成压力,而市场预计加拿大央行将在十月前至少加息25个基点一次。

收益率和风险情绪施压加元

“加元走软,兑美元小幅下跌0.2%,在温和避险情绪驱动下,在G10货币中表现中等,这种避险情绪源于美伊之间的敌对关系重新升温。”

“整体氛围对加元构成阻力,加剧了近期因美加收益率利差扩大而导致的基本面疲软。”

“市场几乎不预期6月10日或7月15日的会议会加息,但预计十月前至少会有一次完整的25个基点加息。”

“看涨——随着美元/加元突破1.38上方的新局部高点,涨势持续。动能得到确认,RSI现已达到70的超买阈值。”

“我们认为1.3900前阻力不大,支撑位在200日均线附近的1.3812。短期内预计区间震荡于1.3800至1.3900之间。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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