美元/加元:看跌动能瞄准三月低点 – 加拿大丰业银行
加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)策略师肖恩-奥斯本(Shaun Osborne)和埃里克-特罗雷(Eric Theoret)观察到,加元(CAD)相对于美元显著走强,延续了其典型的四月超额表现,尽管风险情绪仍不确定。

加拿大丰业银行策略师肖恩-奥斯本和埃里克-特罗雷特观察到,加拿大元(CAD)相对于美元显著走强,延续了其典型的四月超额表现,尽管风险情绪仍不确定。尽管美元/加元仍高于他们的公允价值估计,但他们强调此前的高估正在缓解,短期技术面显示进一步下行空间,有望重新测试三月初1.3520/25区域的低点。

加元延续四月季节性强势

“尽管风险环境有些不确定,加元在周末相当果断地走强,相较于美元及其核心大宗商品同类货币均有所上涨。”

“加元的涨势使现货价格达到自三月中旬以来的最低点,延续了加元通常在四月出现的强劲季节性走势。”

“现货价格仍高于我们的公允价值估计(今日为1.3531),但美元在三月底和四月初表现出的严重高估正在缓解。”

“看跌——美元/加元持续下跌的走势上周暂停,但这一小幅盘整(实际上是一个看跌旗形)已被新的美元走弱所取代,并明显跌破了1.3625的关键支撑位。”

“短期形态表明,美元的下跌可能会延续,至少将重新测试三月初的低点1.3520/25区域。”

(本文由人工智能工具协助生成,编辑审核。)

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