美元/日元:新高点引发干预风险上升 – 星展银行
星展集团研究策略师张伟良指出,美元/日元已突破161,回升至此前曾引发官方干预的水平。

星展集团研究策略师张伟良指出,美元/日元已突破161关口,回升至此前曾引发官方干预的水平。他强调,尽管日本央行近期加息,投机性日元空头头寸仍然高企,并认为日本对日元进一步走弱的容忍度几乎耗尽,增加了重新干预和当局加强言辞的可能性。

当局关注日元重新干预风险

“美元/日元已突破161,达到此前引发市场干预的水平。”

“尽管此次反弹大体符合美联储会议后美元走强的趋势,但也凸显出尽管本周日本央行加息,投机性日元空头头寸并未减轻。”

“鉴于当局在4月底至5月期间干预市场,卖出价值约730亿美元的美元/日元,显示日本对日元走弱的容忍度接近极限。”

“政策制定者可能会通过言辞和进一步的市场干预来遏制日元贬值,油价下跌也为日元提供了一定支撑。”

“布伦特原油价格现已降至约76美元,这应当缓解通胀压力并支持对油价敏感的亚洲货币。”

(本文借助人工智能工具生成,并由编辑审核。)

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